Tropical Cyclone 06A off the coast of Somalia, the cyclone is swirling in the northwestern Indian Ocean with maximum sustained winds of 40 mph, according to The Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC). Additionally, a strong wind shear off of the Horn of Africa should prevent Tropical Cyclone 06A from intensifying much. On the immediate right of Tropical Cyclone 06A, Tropical Cyclone 07A is forming 367 nautical miles southwest of Mumbai off of the coastline of India. The maximum sustained winds for that system are expected to stay around 35 mph.
Tropical Cyclone 06A will continue to track southwestward before making landfall Thursday evening. Its winds are then expected to quickly diminish to less than 30 mph as it moves across the area immediately north of Somalia’s capital city, Mogadishu, the storm is expected to bring torrential rain to an area of the world which is suffering unprecedented flooding, with hundreds dead and one million displaced from flooding earlier in the month. Another tropical system is forming south of the equator and is expected to impact northern Madagaskar.
In Somalia, over half a million people have now been affected by the ongoing floods. With homes destroyed and crops devastated, flood-hit communities are in desperate need of assistance, says the UN. Heavy rains in Somalia and the Ethiopian highlands caused the Shabelle and Juba Rivers to overflow. Flooding has now affected over half a million people in Somalia alone, of whom 370,000 are displaced from their homes, according to the United Nations Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs (OCHA). Flooding began around 21 October and has destroyed farmland and infrastructure and devastated livelihoods in some of the worst-hit areas. At least 17 people have died, roads and homes destroyed, and about 10,000 hectares of crops flooded. Full story
In the path of this storm is Kenya, recent rains in Kenya have affected more than 160,000 people since the onset of the rains in October, according to the Kenya Red Cross Society (KRCS). At least 120 people have reportedly died, including dozens who lost their lives after a landslide in West Pokot County on 23 November. KRCS said that nearly 18,000 who are displaced countrywide, including 10,000 in West Pokot County. According to the Kenyan government, 16,000 houses have been destroyed across the country. Full story
An incredible downpour delivered two years of rainfall in just one day on the small East African nation of Djibouti as East Africa continues to suffer astonishing downpours which started in October. Apparently, rainfall from October to mid-November has been up to 300% above average in the Horn of Africa region affecting more than 250,000 people.