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Tuesday, 28 April 2020

6 monkeys given an experimental coronavirus vaccine from Oxford did not catch COVID-19 after heavy exposure, raising hopes for a human vaccine as deaths could hit 2,225 000 this year

Pairs of shoes are lined up with a sign that reads "These shoes can never be filled again. RIP" outside Southend Hospital today, Getty Images.

As I write this post the average number of confirmed cases of Covid-19 is +/- 80,000 per day since the peak at the end of March and is currently at over 3 million confirmed cases. 211,000 of the 3 million have died, however, most Western countries agree that the true number is most probably quite a bit higher. The official death rate is around 7% at the moment but not all deaths have been recorded, care homes, for example, people who died at home etc, so we can safely say the death rate is more like 10%.

As of today, there are 246 days left of 2020. The average flu pandemic since the 1918 Spanish Flu lasts for just one-year meaning if that happens with Covid-19 and the graph continues to average +/- 80,000 confirmed cases per day we could expect by the end of the year a total of around 2,225 000 deaths. This figure is high end as Western governments are now tentatively easing lockdown as they expect confirmed cases to continue falling.

Several key factors make the novel coronavirus pandemic a new and distinct challenge from an influenza outbreak. During flu season – even a severe one – much of the population is already immune. That’s not the case with the COVID-19 virus and a second-wave could blow the numbers above away. Another key factor is how the virus continues to take off in Africa and other poor countries, at the moment the virus appears to be attacking rich countries, if the virus explodes on the African continent like it did in the far East and the West it would be a monstrous situation as many countries having little or no health workers or equipment.

According to Business Insider, 6 monkeys given an experimental coronavirus vaccine from Oxford did not catch COVID-19 after heavy exposure, raising hopes for a human vaccine, however, this is very early days and most experts believe vaccination is at least a year away.

Here are figures from 'Our World In Data,' to compare other causes of death per year around the world: Almost 10 million people die of cancer per year and more than 50% are younger than 70 years old.

5.5 million children under 5 years old die every year.

56 million people die every year.

2.6 million people die from pneumonia every year.

5 million people die from air pollution every year.

More than 8 million people die from smoking every year with more than half under 70.

1 million people die from Aids/HIV every year, 84% are under the age of 50.

Nearly 1 billion people have mental health disorder.

The world population is about to hit 8 billion.

Disease

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8 comments:

Anonymous said...

Are you really gonna peddle msm b.s. propaganda?- lost all respect peace out...

Anonymous said...

I join anonymous and unsubscribe.

Larry said...

Great article, Gary!

What my extremist friends don't understand is that we have to start with numbers from somewhere. If we are alert, we know that some of those numbers may be biased, but the experienced people take that into account. I was a precision measurement electronics specialist in the USAF. Even if you are unsure of the numbers, if you keep track, you will see trends anyway, and at least get some useful information out of it.


The numbers you came up with did not come from one source. It came from thousands of sources, thousands of professional "eyes". I would think anybody could assemble and publish that data.


I would call that "democratic data". From many.


An extremist is looking to blame, always. It doesn't matter who.


I am a student of A Course in Miracles, and I believe that the awful habit of blaming to get rid of our own guilt is so easily seen in the extremist. Just like our existence in this universe, there is almost no end to blaming. It is part of the equation of our existence at this level. It may be the very reason you and I are stuck at this unfortunate, (yet fortunate,) level. That's why I greatly dislike Trump and Fox News. The contagion of "blame" has now spread to the MSM, as evidenced by CNN's rabid take on Trump.


An extremist will take data that has only one source, with few professional eyes or judges, and accept it as gospel - because it backs up their fantasy of blame. Why is the opponent of the extremist always given God-like powers in the mind of the extremist?

Gary Walton said...

Thank you, Larry, truth is, NO ONE knows, I actually came up with the figures based on, well, average numbers, so the real number could be much higher or much lower but I think...I will be near the mark, time will tell.

Unknown said...

Human morality is flawed, good deeds equal dirty rags in the eyes of God, Jesus was asked by the pharisees "what are the 2 greatest commandments?" Jesus answered "to love your God w/ all your heart, your mind, & your soul" & "to treat others the way you would like to be treated." Without faith in Jesus Christ, Son of God, as your savior, you will be judged by God. Dead in your sins according to the Bible. Accept Jesus as the redeemer of sins & live forever w/ Him. Amen.

Gary Walton said...

Amen

Anonymous said...

Useless "evidence." They should have had 12 monkeys with 6 unvaccinated in the bunch. Would we have had 6 or 12 monkeys that did not contract CoVid in the test?

Gary Walton said...

Now that is a smart point