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Tuesday, 21 January 2020

Chinese Mystery Disease Update No 4: Hundreds of millions of Chinese are on the move this week as human-to-human transmission confirmed: Will spread more quickly and widely: No of cases in the 1000s


Photo David Paulk

  • Coronavirus Is Spreading Quickly Across China as Confirmed Cases Triple. 
  • Pneumonia-like illness is transmittable between humans, reaching major metropolitan. areas in China. 
  •  The infection spreads to Beijing and Shanghai. 
  • China confirms new SARS-like virus HAS spread between humans as 14 medics catch the killer infection after treating patients. 
  • “No need to panic” the virus was not spreading significantly within China as (hundreds of millions of Chinese are on the move for New Year holiday). 
  •  Medics in hazmat suits scanning plane passengers for China's mysterious Wuhan virus is stoking fears of a global epidemic

It is the biggest holiday in the world as hundreds of millions of Chinese are on the move this week to celebrate the Chinese New Year on Sunday, a tiny per cent of these will be unknowingly carrying the mysterious coronavirus, which has just been confirmed can be passed on to humans by humans. The scenario which will follow this is horrific.

The head of a Chinese government expert team said Monday that human-to-human transmission has been confirmed in an outbreak of a new coronavirus, a development that raises the possibility that it could spread more quickly and widely. Team leader Zhong Nanshan, a respiratory expert, said two people in Guangdong province in southern China caught the virus from family members, state media said. Some medical workers have also tested positive for the virus, the English-language China Daily newspaper reported. The late-night announcement capped a day in which authorities announced a sharp uptick in the number of confirmed cases to more than 200, and China’s leader called on the government to take every possible step to combat the outbreak. Now that is the official version, below is the truth.

Published 4 days ago

The number of people already infected by the mystery virus emerging in China is far greater than official figures suggest, scientists have told the BBC. There have been 45 laboratory-confirmed cases of the new virus, but UK experts estimate the figure is closer to 1,700. Two people are known to have died from the virus, which appeared in Wuhan city in December. "I am substantially more concerned than I was a week ago," disease outbreak scientist, Prof Neil Ferguson, said. The work was conducted by the MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis at Imperial College London, which advises bodies including the UK government and the World Health Organization.
Below is the summary from the disease outbreak scientist, Prof Neil Ferguson:
We estimate that a total of 1,723 cases of 2019-nCoV in Wuhan City (95% CI: 427 – 4,471) had onset of symptoms by 12th January 2020 (the last reported onset date of any case). This estimate is based on the following assumptions: Wuhan International Airport has a catchment population of 19 million individuals. There is a mean 10-day delay between infection and detection, comprising a 5-6 day incubation period and a 4-5 day delay from symptom onset to detection/hospitalisation of a case (the cases detected in Thailand and Japan were hospitalised 3 and 7 days after onset, respectively) Total volume of international travel from Wuhan over the last two months has been 3,301 passengers per day. This estimate is derived from the 3,418 foreign passengers per day in the top 20 country destinations based on 2018 IATA data, and uses 2016 IATA data held by Imperial College to correct for the travel surge at Chinese New Year present in the latter data (which has not happened yet this year) and for travel to countries outside the top 20 destination list.

Caveats

  1. We assume that outbound trip durations are long enough that an infected Wuhan resident travelling internationally will develop symptoms and be detected overseas, rather than being detected after returning to Wuhan. We also do not account for the fact that international visitors to Wuhan (such as the case who was detected in Japan) might be expected to have a shorter duration of exposure and thus a lower infection risk than residents. Accounting for either factor correctly requires additional data but would increase our estimate of the total number of cases.
  2. We estimate the potential number of symptomatic cases with disease severity of a level requiring hospitalisation (both the cases detected in Thailand and Japan were moderately severe). Our estimates do not include cases with mild or no symptoms.
  3. The incubation period of 2019-nCov is not known and has been approximated with the estimates obtained for MERS-CoV and SARS [8,9].
  4. We assume that international travel is independent of the risk of exposure to 2019n-CoV or infection status. If zoonotic exposure was biased towards wealthier people, travel frequency may be correlated with exposure. Also, some travel might be causally linked to infection status (to seek healthcare overseas) or the infection status of contacts in Wuhan (this may apply to the case detected in Japan) [10]. Accounting for either association would increase the probability of a case travelling and therefore reduce our estimates of the total number of cases.

Sensitivity analysis

We explore the sensitivity of estimates of total cases to our assumptions about: i) the duration of the detection window (exploring a lower value of 8 days); ii) the catchment population size of Wuhan airport (assuming it might be 11 million, the population of Wuhan city, rather than 19 million, the population of the entire metropolitan area); and iii) true exportations reported internationally (2, 3 and 4 cases). Table 1 summarises the baseline assumptions and alternative scenarios explored. We note that the currently reported number of cases (44) is substantially lower than the lower bound of our most conservative scenario (190 cases, Scenario 3).

Conclusions

It is likely that the Wuhan outbreak of a novel coronavirus has caused substantially more cases of moderate or severe respiratory illness than currently reported. The estimates presented here suggest surveillance should be expanded to include all hospitalised cases of pneumonia or severe respiratory disease in the Wuhan area and other well-connected Chinese cities. This analysis does not directly address transmission routes, but past experience with SARS and MERS-CoV outbreaks of similar scale suggests currently self-sustaining human-to-human transmission should not be ruled out. MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease

Disease

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7 comments:

Hawkeye said...

Just amazing how we keep getting these "new," viruses out of thin air! Excuse the pun but I have read that biological material is also in the geoengineering spray. Actually had some kind of purpose noted as crazy as it sounds, but ecoli and listeria outbreaks have been named on the ingredient list and we have seen many of those outbreaks and still keeps happening. Interesting, note who gets effected most negatively. I think we have to consider this very real possibility because geoengineering spray disbursements are denied, deleted, and ignored by the climate science community but its up there and gravity is also a realty.
Side note: Gary thank you for your comment on that post about the sun is now said by NASA to be our GW culprit. Please understand though that geoengineering is far from irrelevant. The reason our sun is seeming to be our enemy now is not full truth. Our atmosphere is severely depleted and that is what's wrong and why the suns harmful UV now gets down to the ground and things are burning up from the sun. Its not the sun, its our lack of atmospheric protection and geoengineering AEROSOL spraying is contributing greatly to the destruction of ozone. Remember, they told us aerosols were why we had ozone holes. Stop using aerosol spray products......but they aerosol the sky!!!!???
Hello!!!!
Geo is like all their meds. Causes worse side effects then the ailment it is used to treat. Same exact pattern is seen from geoengineering. So, they are not spraying us to save us from the sun!!!! They broke our sun protection from many bad things and geoengineering is used for many different things as well as spraying a man made atmosphere as it continues to destroy the original one God gave us. Do you really think God made earth so poorly that the sun would one day all by itself hurt us?! Think!!!!

Gary Walton said...

You are obviously not familiar with the Bible, Hawkeye, that's ok, I'm not judging you, God constantly warns us throughout the Bible to prepare for a catastrophic event which will come in the future, an event described which could well be a micronova. An event which will black out the Sun, turn the Moon red, move every mountain and island on our planet. God also promises to end this system of things. You see if you look at this from a religious standpoint, everything else is futile, thanks for the input, as usual.

Une Présence 💜 said...

Au Sujet des virus , de la liberté , de la libération , ...de l'attention de la conscience par rapport a ce qui émerge en ces temps... , puisque chacun fait vivre en lui , la dualité ou l'Unité , la Peur ou l'Amour......

Le virus est une origine typiquement astrale, c'est à dire lié au monde émotionnel. Ils sont des créations non pas d'origine Divine mais des créations directement inspirées de la création de la troisième dimension et donc de la conjonction chez l'être humain d'un certain nombre de peurs et de frayeurs, je dirais, qui ont engendré ces virus, au fur et à mesure, depuis des milliers d'années, depuis la création de cette troisième
dimension.

Alors les virus ne sont pas inexorablement liés à
une agressivité.
La théorie la plus adéquate correspond à imaginer, comme le disent les homéopathes, que la chose la plus importante est le terrain et que le virus n'est absolument rien.
Le virus est né dans le monde astral, dans le monde émotionnel, monde de division, monde de séparation, de l'ego, de la personnalité.

Il est évident qu'une personne qui a un niveau vibratoire suffisant est capable d'éliminer tous les virus parce que les virus n'ont pas de prise sur lui.

L'élément air n'a jamais été aussi violent, l'élément feu aussi. Mais l'air c'est surtout les virus. Effectivement un certain nombre de maladies sont en train d'arriver, non pas pour punir mais pour faire prendre une certaine prise de conscience,
l'émergence de cette nouvelle vibration beaucoup plus intense, beaucoup plus rapide. Les phénomènes de masse sont très importants à ce niveau là.

Quel que soit le nom donné par l'illusion, que cela soit des
maladies, que cela soit des virus, que cela soit des éléments, que cela soit même des événements vous semblant, à première vue, totalement inespérés (et par certains côtés totalement fous),
l'ensemble de ces événements (que vous appellerez folie ou inespérés) concourront, de la même façon, à vous établir, de plus en plus fermement, dans votre Unité et dans votre Vérité.

Vous ne devez vous laisser aucunement perturber par les ondes de peur que l'on voudrait vous faire accueillir, à savoir ce que vous appelez crise économique, à savoir ce que vous appelez virus et maladies.



Anonymous said...

Maybe the writers of the bible knew that man would cause a lot of destruction, causing many of the disasters we are seeing now. However that may be, some modern man clearly are beyond sanity and destroy the world knowingly (e.g., depletion of ozone by aerosols has long been known and even proven by science; distribution of avoidable toxins in air, soil, water, injecting forcefully known neurotoxins into other people's bodies, etc.).

Outbreaks of diseases may very well be a consequence of modern life (e.g., higher populations, terrible agricultural practices, toxin-weakened bodies, globalization/international/travel) but one of the most famous climate engineers (Ken Caldeira) stated that it would be easy to kill an adversary nation's population by releasing pathogens via aerosols dispersed by aircraft (there's still a video of this man making this statement available on the censored internet, otherwise it can be found on the Geoengineering Watch site). Aside from potential use on populations, bioweapons can also support industries that live off sick people (e.g., medical system, vaccine industry, insurance companies).

E.coli has been scientifically described as present in the atmosphere (of unknown origin) and as efficient ice nucleation agent. Hundreds of known bioweapon labs are known, there may be more we don't know of.

Maybe the writers of the bible knew that severe evil, greed and power lust in some men will make consequences of any 'natural' cosmic activities worse.

Gary Walton said...

Geoengineering is NOT a bio-weapon if the powers that be wanted to reduce the world's population by spraying the atmosphere it would probably have happened years ago, no, the spraying is to deflect the Sun's heat, radiation back into space. Our planet is heading toward a cataclysmic event, our leaders know this and are doing everything in their (limited) powers to stop it but they can't, mankind cannot stop the will of God or the power of the Sun.

Gary Walton said...

Une

Si c'était aussi simple que ça!

Hawkeye said...

Hi Gary. Just so you know me better, I am very familiar with the Bible. I read it all the time, have studied it for several years and have personally been blessed with much suffering which is what woke me up. You should listen to Dane Wigington on geoengineering watch moire often. He has extremely educational and fact filled information weekly regarding this unadmitted geoengineering fact of our life.
What you speak of from the Bible is mostly from Revelation. You are correct in your points, but those things you state that were written do not mean God is doing it. He is allowing it. They are signs with no named cause or causer.
Signs we are all seeing regularly now, yes. God is letting evil take it self down, man made causes. The powers that be are not saving us from natural forces! They created what is wrong and still don't stop their ways. In order to continue forward on their ways and because they broke parts of the environment that we need, they just make their own version of natural and keep moving forward with bad ways. Its like they are in search of something and will do anything to find it.
You know the ozone is depleted, you know man depleted it with polluting agents over the years. Progress continued to deplete it and still does regardless of seeing the damage, they keep doubling down on destructive technologies that keep destroying the atmosphere. So now that it is damaged they are spraying a man made atmospheric layer to block sun, UV, heat all the bad stuff getting in. Are they stopping anything else to coincide with the spray meds? No. Doubling down instead. Do not protect them, they are evil spirits in disguise. Bible tells us that.
I do believe all you noted from the scriptures but man is the cause and God is telling us what those causes will result in. They are screwing around with magnetic energies!! Yes, the magnetic forces that are earths energies so of course earth is responding, reacting. I have so much I can tell you proving Gods hand in my life showing me, directing me to truth. No more room here now. I'll be back!